Significant Mix of sleet, freezing rain and snow likely across southwest Virginia

Rain in the TRI likely changes to a mix before ending Monday

After enjoying an unseasonably mild Sunday afternoon with highs in the 60's for most locations, rain and cooler temperatures will begin to arrive tonight.  The image below shows most of the cold air holding to the north of the Tri-Cities and much of southwest Virginia by Monday morning.  Despite what I am reading in forecasts by the National Weather Service, temperatures in the Tri-Cities early Monday morning will be well above freezing and possible even in the lower 40's.  One NWS forecast has us in the middle 20's by noon but most guidance numbers indicate middle to upper 30's for the Tri-Cities with freezing rain, sleet and snow more of a concern for parts of southwest Virginia, including Clintwood, Wise and the Grundy/Richlands area.

(The dark blue and purple indicate the colder temperatures just above the surface where conditions will be cold enough for mainly snow across much of Kentucky into the Ohio Valley.  The light blue across southwest Virginia indicates temperatures that are not cold enough to support snow.  However, what you don't see here are near freezing temperatures along the Virginia and the Kentucky border that will that will cause rain to freeze as sleet or freezing rain as it reaches the ground.)